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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

49%

Salford City

2.06

32%

Draw

3.13

19%

Barrow

5.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Salford City xG

Total xG

1.85

0.65

Barrow xG

49%
32%
19%
Salford CityDrawBarrow

2.06

49%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

5.14

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.92

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

52%

Salford City

1.92

30%

Barrow

3.33

Win to Nil

25%

Salford City

3.95

6%

Barrow

17.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6 10.2 3.3 0.7 0.1
1 18.8 12.3 4.0 0.9 0.1
2 11.3 7.4 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 4.5 3.0 1.0 0.2
4 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.202
λ Away (xG) 0.653
Total xG 1.855
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.189
Salford City attack strength 1.037
Salford City defence strength 0.852
Barrow attack strength 0.645
Barrow defence strength 0.908
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66