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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

43%

Salford City

2.32

28%

Draw

3.57

29%

Accrington ST

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Salford City xG

Total xG

2.61

1.15

Accrington ST xG

43%
28%
29%
Salford CityDrawAccrington ST

2.32

43%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

32%

Salford City

3.17

23%

Accrington ST

4.30

Win to Nil

14%

Salford City

7.36

7%

Accrington ST

14.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 8.5 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 10.7 12.3 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.0 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.8 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.459
λ Away (xG) 1.154
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.090
Salford City attack strength 1.067
Salford City defence strength 1.276
Accrington ST attack strength 0.830
Accrington ST defence strength 1.071
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48