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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 22 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Port Vale Win

54%

Port Vale

1.84

27%

Draw

3.64

18%

Morecambe

5.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Port Vale xG

Total xG

2.09

0.68

Morecambe xG

54%
27%
18%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe

1.84

54%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

5.49

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.68

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

50%

Port Vale

1.98

25%

Morecambe

4.07

Win to Nil

27%

Port Vale

3.65

4%

Morecambe

22.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 8.5 2.9 0.7 0.1
1 17.4 11.9 4.1 0.9 0.2
2 12.2 8.4 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 5.7 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.403
λ Away (xG) 0.684
Total xG 2.087
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.083
Port Vale attack strength 0.972
Port Vale defence strength 0.827
Morecambe attack strength 0.764
Morecambe defence strength 1.116
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 83