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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Port Vale Win

51%

Port Vale

1.97

28%

Draw

3.57

21%

Harrogate Town

4.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Port Vale xG

Total xG

2.13

0.77

Harrogate Town xG

51%
28%
21%
Port ValeDrawHarrogate Town

1.97

51%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

4.70

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

46%

Port Vale

2.17

26%

Harrogate Town

3.90

Win to Nil

23%

Port Vale

4.27

5%

Harrogate Town

18.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 9.2 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 16.1 12.5 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 11.0 8.5 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 5.0 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 0.773
Total xG 2.133
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.076
Port Vale attack strength 0.998
Port Vale defence strength 0.934
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.769
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 80