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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Port Vale Win
54%
1.84
28%
3.55
18%
5.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.1%
Home win
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.45
Port Vale xG
Total xG
2.16
0.71
Gillingham xG
Port ValeDrawGillingham
1.84
54%
Home win
3.55
28%
Draw
5.68
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.53
61%
BTTS No
1.65
Clean Sheet
49%
2.03
24%
4.25
Win to Nil
27%
3.74
4%
24.16
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.6 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.8 | 11.9 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.1 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.448
λ Away (xG)
0.708
Total xG
2.156
League avg home goals
1.316
League avg away goals
1.138
Port Vale attack strength
1.117
Port Vale defence strength
0.787
Gillingham attack strength
0.790
Gillingham defence strength
0.985
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 91