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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

53%

Notts County

1.89

28%

Draw

3.62

19%

Swindon Town

5.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Notts County xG

Total xG

2.49

0.88

Swindon Town xG

53%
28%
19%
Notts CountyDrawSwindon Town

1.89

53%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

5.18

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

41%

Notts County

2.42

20%

Swindon Town

4.99

Win to Nil

22%

Notts County

4.56

4%

Swindon Town

25.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 7.3 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 13.3 11.8 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.5 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 5.7 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.1
4 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.607
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.491
League avg home goals 1.334
League avg away goals 1.196
Notts County attack strength 1.024
Notts County defence strength 0.828
Swindon Town attack strength 0.893
Swindon Town defence strength 1.177
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 70