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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 22 Mar 2025

12:30

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

37%

Notts County

2.70

31%

Draw

3.27

32%

Crewe

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Notts County xG

Total xG

2.02

0.97

Crewe xG

37%
31%
32%
Notts CountyDrawCrewe

2.70

37%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

38%

Notts County

2.63

35%

Crewe

2.87

Win to Nil

14%

Notts County

7.12

11%

Crewe

8.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 12.8 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.0 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.4 7.1 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.055
λ Away (xG) 0.968
Total xG 2.023
League avg home goals 1.297
League avg away goals 1.087
Notts County attack strength 0.995
Notts County defence strength 0.971
Crewe attack strength 0.917
Crewe defence strength 0.818
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 83