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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

53%

Notts County

1.87

25%

Draw

4.02

22%

Crawley Town

4.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Notts County xG

Total xG

2.54

0.93

Crawley Town xG

53%
25%
22%
Notts CountyDrawCrawley Town

1.87

53%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

4.63

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

40%

Notts County

2.52

20%

Crawley Town

5.01

Win to Nil

21%

Notts County

4.72

4%

Crawley Town

23.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.3 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 12.7 11.8 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.5 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.5 5.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.612
λ Away (xG) 0.926
Total xG 2.538
League avg home goals 1.190
League avg away goals 1.140
Notts County attack strength 1.194
Notts County defence strength 1.025
Crawley Town attack strength 0.792
Crawley Town defence strength 1.135
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 8