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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

12:30

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

52%

Notts County

1.92

25%

Draw

3.94

23%

Chesterfield

4.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Notts County xG

Total xG

2.50

0.94

Chesterfield xG

52%
25%
23%
Notts CountyDrawChesterfield

1.92

52%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

4.42

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

39%

Notts County

2.55

21%

Chesterfield

4.78

Win to Nil

20%

Notts County

4.92

5%

Chesterfield

21.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 7.7 3.6 1.1 0.3
1 12.8 12.0 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.2 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.565
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.503
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 1.189
Notts County attack strength 1.189
Notts County defence strength 0.770
Chesterfield attack strength 1.024
Chesterfield defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 82