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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Notts County Win
54%
1.84
28%
3.60
18%
5.57
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
2 – 0
11.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.52
Notts County xG
Total xG
2.29
0.77
Carlisle xG
Notts CountyDrawCarlisle
1.84
54%
Home win
3.60
28%
Draw
5.57
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.33
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
46%
2.16
22%
4.59
Win to Nil
25%
3.98
4%
25.53
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1 | 7.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 15.4 | 11.8 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.7 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.9 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.523
λ Away (xG)
0.770
Total xG
2.293
League avg home goals
1.305
League avg away goals
1.151
Notts County attack strength
1.034
Notts County defence strength
0.792
Carlisle attack strength
0.845
Carlisle defence strength
1.129
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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