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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

64%

Notts County

1.57

24%

Draw

4.19

12%

Barrow

8.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.9%

Home win

0 – 0

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Notts County xG

Total xG

2.20

0.56

Barrow xG

64%
24%
12%
Notts CountyDrawBarrow

1.57

64%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

8.08

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.89

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

57%

Notts County

1.75

19%

Barrow

5.14

Win to Nil

36%

Notts County

2.75

2%

Barrow

41.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 6.2 1.7 0.3
1 18.2 10.2 2.9 0.5 0.1
2 14.9 8.3 2.3 0.4 0.1
3 8.1 4.6 1.3 0.2
4 3.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.638
λ Away (xG) 0.561
Total xG 2.199
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.076
Notts County attack strength 1.060
Notts County defence strength 0.795
Barrow attack strength 0.655
Barrow defence strength 1.213
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 79