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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

46%

Newport County

2.19

28%

Draw

3.51

26%

Tranmere

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.38

0.99

Tranmere xG

46%
28%
26%
Newport CountyDrawTranmere

2.19

46%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

37%

Newport County

2.69

25%

Tranmere

4.03

Win to Nil

17%

Newport County

5.90

6%

Tranmere

15.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 9.1 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 12.7 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.9 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.394
λ Away (xG) 0.988
Total xG 2.382
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.138
Newport County attack strength 0.863
Newport County defence strength 1.033
Tranmere attack strength 0.841
Tranmere defence strength 1.228
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91