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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Sat 28 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

39%

Newport County

2.59

26%

Draw

3.84

35%

Shrewsbury

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.66

1.29

Shrewsbury xG

39%
26%
35%
Newport CountyDrawShrewsbury

2.59

39%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

27%

Newport County

3.64

26%

Shrewsbury

3.92

Win to Nil

11%

Newport County

9.43

9%

Shrewsbury

11.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 9.1 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.4 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.4 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.0 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 1.293
Total xG 2.658
League avg home goals 1.203
League avg away goals 1.192
Newport County attack strength 0.869
Newport County defence strength 1.209
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.897
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.305
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 39