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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

31%

Newport County

3.24

28%

Draw

3.52

41%

Notts County

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.48

1.34

Notts County xG

31%
28%
41%
Newport CountyDrawNotts County

3.24

31%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

26%

Newport County

3.83

32%

Notts County

3.11

Win to Nil

8%

Newport County

12.41

13%

Notts County

7.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 11.3 7.6 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 9.5 12.8 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.4 7.3 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.134
λ Away (xG) 1.342
Total xG 2.476
League avg home goals 1.198
League avg away goals 1.050
Newport County attack strength 0.981
Newport County defence strength 1.116
Notts County attack strength 1.146
Notts County defence strength 0.965
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46