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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 39

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

39%

Newport County

2.57

24%

Draw

4.17

37%

Notts County

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Newport County xG

Total xG

3.06

1.51

Notts County xG

39%
24%
37%
Newport CountyDrawNotts County

2.57

39%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

22%

Newport County

4.54

21%

Notts County

4.72

Win to Nil

9%

Newport County

11.69

8%

Notts County

12.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 7.1 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 7.2 11.0 8.3 4.2 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.5 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 2.9 4.4 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.552
λ Away (xG) 1.513
Total xG 3.065
League avg home goals 1.258
League avg away goals 1.055
Newport County attack strength 1.158
Newport County defence strength 1.110
Notts County attack strength 1.292
Notts County defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 84 / 84