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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Tue 4 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

45%

Newport County

2.20

28%

Draw

3.53

26%

Morecambe

3.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.54

1.06

Morecambe xG

45%
28%
26%
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe

2.20

45%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.81

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

34%

Newport County

2.90

23%

Morecambe

4.36

Win to Nil

16%

Newport County

6.39

6%

Morecambe

16.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 8.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.6 12.4 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.1 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.473
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 2.538
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.149
Newport County attack strength 1.116
Newport County defence strength 1.165
Morecambe attack strength 0.796
Morecambe defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 74