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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Harrogate Town Win

26%

Newport County

3.80

27%

Draw

3.67

46%

Harrogate Town

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.35

1.38

Harrogate Town xG

26%
27%
46%
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town

3.80

26%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

25%

Newport County

3.97

38%

Harrogate Town

2.63

Win to Nil

7%

Newport County

15.09

18%

Harrogate Town

5.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 13.2 9.1 4.2 1.4 0.4
1 9.2 12.8 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.5 6.2 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.4 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.967
λ Away (xG) 1.380
Total xG 2.347
League avg home goals 1.228
League avg away goals 1.172
Newport County attack strength 0.772
Newport County defence strength 1.222
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.963
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88