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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

46%

Newport County

2.17

28%

Draw

3.56

26%

Harrogate Town

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.24

0.91

Harrogate Town xG

46%
28%
26%
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town

2.17

46%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

40%

Newport County

2.49

27%

Harrogate Town

3.75

Win to Nil

18%

Newport County

5.41

7%

Harrogate Town

14.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 9.8 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.1 12.9 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.5 3.9 1.2 0.3
3 4.1 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.322
λ Away (xG) 0.914
Total xG 2.236
League avg home goals 1.289
League avg away goals 1.086
Newport County attack strength 1.047
Newport County defence strength 1.166
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.722
Harrogate Town defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 82