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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gillingham Win

27%

Newport County

3.68

26%

Draw

3.78

46%

Gillingham

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.48

1.44

Gillingham xG

27%
26%
46%
Newport CountyDrawGillingham

3.68

27%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

24%

Newport County

4.22

35%

Gillingham

2.82

Win to Nil

6%

Newport County

15.54

16%

Gillingham

6.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 12.1 8.7 4.2 1.5 0.4
1 8.7 12.5 9.0 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 4.5 6.5 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.038
λ Away (xG) 1.441
Total xG 2.479
League avg home goals 1.190
League avg away goals 1.140
Newport County attack strength 0.942
Newport County defence strength 1.232
Gillingham attack strength 1.027
Gillingham defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54