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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

42%

Newport County

2.37

30%

Draw

3.33

28%

Gillingham

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.05

0.88

Gillingham xG

42%
30%
28%
Newport CountyDrawGillingham

2.37

42%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

41%

Newport County

2.42

31%

Gillingham

3.20

Win to Nil

17%

Newport County

5.73

9%

Gillingham

11.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 11.4 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.0 13.3 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 7.7 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.4 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.164
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.048
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.076
Newport County attack strength 0.956
Newport County defence strength 1.189
Gillingham attack strength 0.691
Gillingham defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 79