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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Crewe Win
21%
4.78
25%
3.99
54%
1.85
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.2%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
0 – 2
10.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Newport County xG
Total xG
2.62
1.67
Crewe xG
Newport CountyDrawCrewe
4.78
21%
Home win
3.99
25%
Draw
1.85
54%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.99
50%
BTTS No
2.01
Clean Sheet
19%
5.33
39%
2.58
Win to Nil
4%
25.47
21%
4.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 12.2 | 10.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 11.5 | 9.6 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.948
λ Away (xG)
1.673
Total xG
2.621
League avg home goals
1.337
League avg away goals
1.218
Newport County attack strength
0.757
Newport County defence strength
1.321
Crewe attack strength
1.039
Crewe defence strength
0.938
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 68