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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

37%

Newport County

2.68

29%

Draw

3.45

34%

Colchester

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.28

1.11

Colchester xG

37%
29%
34%
Newport CountyDrawColchester

2.68

37%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

33%

Newport County

3.02

31%

Colchester

3.24

Win to Nil

12%

Newport County

8.11

10%

Colchester

9.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 11.3 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.0 13.3 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.1 7.8 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.177
λ Away (xG) 1.106
Total xG 2.283
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.122
Newport County attack strength 1.002
Newport County defence strength 1.086
Colchester attack strength 0.907
Colchester defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 87