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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

53%

Newport County

1.89

27%

Draw

3.74

20%

Cheltenham

4.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.46

0.88

Cheltenham xG

53%
27%
20%
Newport CountyDrawCheltenham

1.89

53%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

4.92

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

41%

Newport County

2.41

21%

Cheltenham

4.83

Win to Nil

22%

Newport County

4.56

4%

Cheltenham

23.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 7.6 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 13.5 11.9 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.4 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.6 4.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.2 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.575
λ Away (xG) 0.881
Total xG 2.456
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.072
Newport County attack strength 1.012
Newport County defence strength 1.051
Cheltenham attack strength 0.782
Cheltenham defence strength 1.188
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 30