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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Tue 11 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

52%

Newport County

1.93

26%

Draw

3.88

22%

Carlisle

4.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.73

1.04

Carlisle xG

52%
26%
22%
Newport CountyDrawCarlisle

1.93

52%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

4.47

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

35%

Newport County

2.83

18%

Carlisle

5.44

Win to Nil

18%

Newport County

5.46

4%

Carlisle

24.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.0 11.4 6.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.694
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 2.734
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.153
Newport County attack strength 1.135
Newport County defence strength 1.162
Carlisle attack strength 0.776
Carlisle defence strength 1.113
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 29