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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cambridge United Win

23%

Newport County

4.36

26%

Draw

3.81

51%

Cambridge United

1.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.39

1.49

Cambridge United xG

23%
26%
51%
Newport CountyDrawCambridge United

4.36

23%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

1.97

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

23%

Newport County

4.42

40%

Cambridge United

2.47

Win to Nil

5%

Newport County

19.26

21%

Cambridge United

4.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 13.6 10.1 5.0 1.9 0.6
1 8.3 12.3 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 3.7 5.6 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.2
3 1.1 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.904
λ Away (xG) 1.486
Total xG 2.390
League avg home goals 1.247
League avg away goals 1.174
Newport County attack strength 0.864
Newport County defence strength 1.208
Cambridge United attack strength 1.048
Cambridge United defence strength 0.839
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 32