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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Thu 2 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AFC Wimbledon Win

36%

Newport County

2.78

28%

Draw

3.58

36%

AFC Wimbledon

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.83

1.42

AFC Wimbledon xG

36%
28%
36%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon

2.78

36%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

24%

Newport County

4.12

24%

AFC Wimbledon

4.10

Win to Nil

9%

Newport County

11.47

9%

AFC Wimbledon

11.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 8.4 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.3 11.8 8.4 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.3 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.8 3.9 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 1.416
Total xG 2.828
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.181
Newport County attack strength 1.264
Newport County defence strength 1.155
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 1.038
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68