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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 27 Jan 2026

19:30

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

33%

Newport County

3.05

30%

Draw

3.39

38%

Accrington ST

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.15

1.12

Accrington ST xG

33%
30%
38%
Newport CountyDrawAccrington ST

3.05

33%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

33%

Newport County

3.07

36%

Accrington ST

2.79

Win to Nil

11%

Newport County

9.38

14%

Accrington ST

7.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 13.1 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.1 6.9 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.025
λ Away (xG) 1.123
Total xG 2.148
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.223
Newport County attack strength 0.911
Newport County defence strength 1.139
Accrington ST attack strength 0.806
Accrington ST defence strength 0.870
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72