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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Mazuma Mobile Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

26%

Morecambe

3.85

28%

Draw

3.52

46%

Salford City

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Morecambe xG

Total xG

2.48

1.45

Salford City xG

26%
28%
46%
MorecambeDrawSalford City

3.85

26%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

24%

Morecambe

4.25

36%

Salford City

2.81

Win to Nil

6%

Morecambe

16.33

16%

Salford City

6.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 12.1 8.8 4.2 1.5 0.4
1 8.7 12.5 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.5 6.5 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.5 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.034
λ Away (xG) 1.446
Total xG 2.480
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.123
Morecambe attack strength 0.865
Morecambe defence strength 1.054
Salford City attack strength 1.222
Salford City defence strength 0.919
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 89