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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Mazuma Mobile Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Morecambe Win

40%

Morecambe

2.51

32%

Draw

3.13

28%

Harrogate Town

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Morecambe xG

Total xG

2.02

0.90

Harrogate Town xG

40%
32%
28%
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town

2.51

40%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

41%

Morecambe

2.45

33%

Harrogate Town

3.06

Win to Nil

16%

Morecambe

6.16

9%

Harrogate Town

10.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 11.9 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.9 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.3 7.5 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.1 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.120
λ Away (xG) 0.897
Total xG 2.017
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.138
Morecambe attack strength 0.864
Morecambe defence strength 1.135
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.695
Harrogate Town defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91