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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Mazuma Mobile Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Morecambe Win

53%

Morecambe

1.90

28%

Draw

3.56

19%

Carlisle

5.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Morecambe xG

Total xG

2.11

0.72

Carlisle xG

53%
28%
19%
MorecambeDrawCarlisle

1.90

53%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

5.21

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

49%

Morecambe

2.06

25%

Carlisle

4.02

Win to Nil

26%

Morecambe

3.91

5%

Carlisle

20.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 8.7 3.2 0.8 0.1
1 16.8 12.1 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 11.7 8.4 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 5.4 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.392
λ Away (xG) 0.723
Total xG 2.115
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.122
Morecambe attack strength 0.927
Morecambe defence strength 0.978
Carlisle attack strength 0.659
Carlisle defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 41