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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Exercise Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

28%

Harrogate Town

3.51

27%

Draw

3.76

45%

Swindon Town

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Harrogate Town xG

Total xG

2.69

1.52

Swindon Town xG

28%
27%
45%
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town

3.51

28%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

22%

Harrogate Town

4.58

31%

Swindon Town

3.21

Win to Nil

6%

Harrogate Town

16.08

14%

Swindon Town

7.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 10.4 7.9 4.0 1.5 0.5
1 7.9 12.1 9.2 4.7 1.8 0.5
2 4.6 7.0 5.4 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.165
λ Away (xG) 1.522
Total xG 2.687
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.120
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.759
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.132
Swindon Town attack strength 1.201
Swindon Town defence strength 1.159
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 77