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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Exercise Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Harrogate Town Win

53%

Harrogate Town

1.90

23%

Draw

4.39

25%

Shrewsbury

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Harrogate Town xG

Total xG

3.04

1.19

Shrewsbury xG

53%
23%
25%
Harrogate TownDrawShrewsbury

1.90

53%

Home win

4.39

23%

Draw

4.08

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

30%

Harrogate Town

3.29

16%

Shrewsbury

6.33

Win to Nil

16%

Harrogate Town

6.24

4%

Shrewsbury

25.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.7 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.9 10.6 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.0 6.0 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.846
λ Away (xG) 1.190
Total xG 3.036
League avg home goals 1.181
League avg away goals 1.149
Harrogate Town attack strength 1.002
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.122
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.923
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.560
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 8