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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Exercise Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

33%

Harrogate Town

2.99

27%

Draw

3.64

39%

Notts County

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Harrogate Town xG

Total xG

2.66

1.39

Notts County xG

33%
27%
39%
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County

2.99

33%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

25%

Harrogate Town

4.01

28%

Notts County

3.55

Win to Nil

8%

Harrogate Town

11.96

11%

Notts County

9.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 9.7 6.8 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 8.9 12.4 8.6 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.6 7.8 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.4 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.268
λ Away (xG) 1.388
Total xG 2.656
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 1.135
Harrogate Town attack strength 1.054
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.039
Notts County attack strength 1.177
Notts County defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90