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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Exercise Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

34%

Harrogate Town

2.98

27%

Draw

3.69

39%

Grimsby

2.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Harrogate Town xG

Total xG

2.56

1.34

Grimsby xG

34%
27%
39%
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby

2.98

34%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.54

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

26%

Harrogate Town

3.83

30%

Grimsby

3.39

Win to Nil

9%

Harrogate Town

11.39

12%

Grimsby

8.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 10.4 6.9 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.4 12.6 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.7 7.7 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.220
λ Away (xG) 1.342
Total xG 2.562
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.122
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.917
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.055
Grimsby attack strength 1.133
Grimsby defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 87