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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Exercise Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Harrogate Town Win

41%

Harrogate Town

2.45

25%

Draw

3.97

34%

Fleetwood Town

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Harrogate Town xG

Total xG

3.17

1.51

Fleetwood Town xG

41%
25%
34%
Harrogate TownDrawFleetwood Town

2.45

41%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

22%

Harrogate Town

4.51

19%

Fleetwood Town

5.28

Win to Nil

9%

Harrogate Town

11.06

6%

Fleetwood Town

15.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 6.3 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.3
1 7.0 10.5 7.9 4.0 1.5 0.5
2 5.8 8.8 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.2 4.9 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.663
λ Away (xG) 1.506
Total xG 3.169
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.123
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.974
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.078
Fleetwood Town attack strength 1.244
Fleetwood Town defence strength 1.311
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 43