Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Mon 6 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Exercise Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

32%

Harrogate Town

3.12

28%

Draw

3.54

40%

Crewe

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Harrogate Town xG

Total xG

2.30

1.23

Crewe xG

32%
28%
40%
Harrogate TownDrawCrewe

3.12

32%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

29%

Harrogate Town

3.41

34%

Crewe

2.92

Win to Nil

9%

Harrogate Town

10.64

14%

Crewe

7.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 12.3 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 10.8 13.2 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 5.8 7.1 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.5 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.072
λ Away (xG) 1.227
Total xG 2.299
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.163
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.928
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.024
Crewe attack strength 1.031
Crewe defence strength 0.848
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56