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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Exercise Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Harrogate Town Win

46%

Harrogate Town

2.18

25%

Draw

4.02

29%

Chesterfield

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Harrogate Town xG

Total xG

2.99

1.31

Chesterfield xG

46%
25%
29%
Harrogate TownDrawChesterfield

2.18

46%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

27%

Harrogate Town

3.69

19%

Chesterfield

5.40

Win to Nil

12%

Harrogate Town

8.05

5%

Chesterfield

18.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.6 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.5 11.1 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.3 6.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 4.0 5.2 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.686
λ Away (xG) 1.306
Total xG 2.992
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.121
Harrogate Town attack strength 1.186
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.104
Chesterfield attack strength 1.055
Chesterfield defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50