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Harrogate Town vs Accrington ST – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Exercise Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

35%

Harrogate Town

2.88

30%

Draw

3.31

35%

Accrington ST

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.2%

Away win

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Harrogate Town xG

Total xG

2.20

1.10

Accrington ST xG

35%
30%
35%
Harrogate TownDrawAccrington ST

2.88

35%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

33%

Harrogate Town

3.01

33%

Accrington ST

3.00

Win to Nil

12%

Harrogate Town

8.66

12%

Accrington ST

8.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 12.2 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 12.2 13.4 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.7 7.4 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.098
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.201
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.078
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.780
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.040
Accrington ST attack strength 0.984
Accrington ST defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 78