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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Blundell Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

45%

Grimsby

2.21

29%

Draw

3.40

25%

Morecambe

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Grimsby xG

Total xG

2.10

0.85

Morecambe xG

45%
29%
25%
GrimsbyDrawMorecambe

2.21

45%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

43%

Grimsby

2.34

29%

Morecambe

3.48

Win to Nil

19%

Grimsby

5.17

7%

Morecambe

13.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 10.4 4.4 1.3 0.3
1 15.3 13.0 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 9.5 8.1 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 4.0 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.248
λ Away (xG) 0.852
Total xG 2.100
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.075
Grimsby attack strength 0.892
Grimsby defence strength 1.090
Morecambe attack strength 0.727
Morecambe defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 86