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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Blundell Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

47%

Grimsby

2.11

27%

Draw

3.69

26%

Carlisle

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Grimsby xG

Total xG

2.66

1.09

Carlisle xG

47%
27%
26%
GrimsbyDrawCarlisle

2.11

47%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

34%

Grimsby

2.98

21%

Carlisle

4.80

Win to Nil

16%

Grimsby

6.29

5%

Carlisle

18.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.6 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 12.0 6.5 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.4 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.5 4.9 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.568
λ Away (xG) 1.092
Total xG 2.660
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.169
Grimsby attack strength 1.078
Grimsby defence strength 1.202
Carlisle attack strength 0.777
Carlisle defence strength 1.085
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 28