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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Priestfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gillingham Win

50%

Gillingham

2.02

27%

Draw

3.73

24%

Notts County

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Gillingham xG

Total xG

2.34

0.90

Notts County xG

50%
27%
24%
GillinghamDrawNotts County

2.02

50%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

41%

Gillingham

2.47

24%

Notts County

4.22

Win to Nil

20%

Gillingham

4.97

6%

Notts County

17.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 8.7 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 13.8 12.5 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.0 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 4.8 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.440
λ Away (xG) 0.903
Total xG 2.343
League avg home goals 1.172
League avg away goals 1.145
Gillingham attack strength 1.203
Gillingham defence strength 0.725
Notts County attack strength 1.087
Notts County defence strength 1.022
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53