Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Priestfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gillingham Win

39%

Gillingham

2.55

28%

Draw

3.59

33%

Crewe

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Gillingham xG

Total xG

2.54

1.20

Crewe xG

39%
28%
33%
GillinghamDrawCrewe

2.55

39%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

30%

Gillingham

3.32

26%

Crewe

3.80

Win to Nil

12%

Gillingham

8.47

9%

Crewe

11.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 9.5 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.6 12.7 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.5 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.1 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.334
λ Away (xG) 1.201
Total xG 2.535
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.121
Gillingham attack strength 1.193
Gillingham defence strength 0.798
Crewe attack strength 1.341
Crewe defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50