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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Priestfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

31%

Gillingham

3.27

33%

Draw

3.04

37%

Crewe

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Gillingham xG

Total xG

1.92

1.02

Crewe xG

31%
33%
37%
GillinghamDrawCrewe

3.27

31%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

36%

Gillingham

2.76

40%

Crewe

2.47

Win to Nil

11%

Gillingham

9.03

15%

Crewe

6.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7 14.9 7.6 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.0 6.1 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 1.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.904
λ Away (xG) 1.016
Total xG 1.920
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.120
Gillingham attack strength 0.800
Gillingham defence strength 1.114
Crewe attack strength 0.814
Crewe defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 77