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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Priestfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

34%

Gillingham

2.98

34%

Draw

2.90

32%

Chesterfield

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Gillingham xG

Total xG

1.89

0.93

Chesterfield xG

34%
34%
32%
GillinghamDrawChesterfield

2.98

34%

Home win

2.90

34%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

39%

Gillingham

2.53

38%

Chesterfield

2.61

Win to Nil

13%

Gillingham

7.53

12%

Chesterfield

8.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.1 14.0 6.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.5 13.5 6.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 7.0 6.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
3 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.961
λ Away (xG) 0.929
Total xG 1.890
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.095
Gillingham attack strength 0.903
Gillingham defence strength 0.793
Chesterfield attack strength 1.070
Chesterfield defence strength 0.819
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49