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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Crewe Win
53%
1.88
23%
4.30
23%
4.26
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.78
Crewe xG
Total xG
2.89
1.11
Shrewsbury xG
CreweDrawShrewsbury
1.88
53%
Home win
4.30
23%
Draw
4.26
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.80
44%
BTTS No
2.26
Clean Sheet
33%
3.02
17%
5.95
Win to Nil
18%
5.68
4%
25.36
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.9 | 11.0 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.784
λ Away (xG)
1.106
Total xG
2.890
League avg home goals
1.363
League avg away goals
1.174
Crewe attack strength
0.958
Crewe defence strength
1.096
Shrewsbury attack strength
0.859
Shrewsbury defence strength
1.366
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 14