Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Alexandra Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

31%

Crewe

3.20

28%

Draw

3.59

41%

Notts County

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.2%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.35

1.27

Notts County xG

31%
28%
41%
CreweDrawNotts County

3.20

31%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

28%

Crewe

3.58

34%

Notts County

2.93

Win to Nil

9%

Crewe

11.46

14%

Notts County

7.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 12.2 7.7 3.3 1.0 0.3
1 10.3 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.5 7.0 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 2.0 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.075
λ Away (xG) 1.274
Total xG 2.349
League avg home goals 1.242
League avg away goals 1.154
Crewe attack strength 0.887
Crewe defence strength 1.103
Notts County attack strength 1.001
Notts County defence strength 0.976
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55