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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Crewe Win
50%
2.00
24%
4.20
26%
3.84
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
Crewe xG
Total xG
2.96
1.21
Newport County xG
CreweDrawNewport County
2.00
50%
Home win
4.20
24%
Draw
3.84
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.39
Clean Sheet
30%
3.34
17%
5.80
Win to Nil
15%
6.67
4%
22.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 10.9 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.757
λ Away (xG)
1.207
Total xG
2.964
League avg home goals
1.361
League avg away goals
1.216
Crewe attack strength
1.126
Crewe defence strength
1.164
Newport County attack strength
0.853
Newport County defence strength
1.146
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 64