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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 1 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Mornflake Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

28%

Crewe

3.57

25%

Draw

4.05

47%

Grimsby

2.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.79

1.61

Grimsby xG

28%
25%
47%
CreweDrawGrimsby

3.57

28%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

2.11

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

20%

Crewe

5.00

31%

Grimsby

3.26

Win to Nil

6%

Crewe

17.86

15%

Grimsby

6.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 9.9 8.0 4.3 1.7 0.6
1 7.3 11.7 9.4 5.0 2.0 0.7
2 4.3 6.9 5.5 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.7 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.181
λ Away (xG) 1.609
Total xG 2.790
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 1.068
Crewe attack strength 0.950
Crewe defence strength 1.177
Grimsby attack strength 1.280
Grimsby defence strength 0.989
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 85