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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Mornflake Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

52%

Crewe

1.92

24%

Draw

4.19

24%

Fleetwood Town

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.80

1.08

Fleetwood Town xG

52%
24%
24%
CreweDrawFleetwood Town

1.92

52%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

34%

Crewe

2.95

18%

Fleetwood Town

5.56

Win to Nil

18%

Crewe

5.65

4%

Fleetwood Town

23.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.6 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.5 11.3 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.1 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.716
λ Away (xG) 1.082
Total xG 2.798
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.076
Crewe attack strength 1.109
Crewe defence strength 1.046
Fleetwood Town attack strength 0.961
Fleetwood Town defence strength 1.215
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 34