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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Alexandra Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

62%

Crewe

1.61

24%

Draw

4.13

14%

Crawley Town

7.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.53

0.73

Crawley Town xG

62%
24%
14%
CreweDrawCrawley Town

1.61

62%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

7.26

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

48%

Crewe

2.08

17%

Crawley Town

6.03

Win to Nil

30%

Crewe

3.35

2%

Crawley Town

43.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 5.8 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.4 10.5 3.8 0.9 0.2
2 12.9 9.4 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 7.7 5.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 2.5 0.9 0.2
5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.797
λ Away (xG) 0.730
Total xG 2.527
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.090
Crewe attack strength 1.050
Crewe defence strength 0.935
Crawley Town attack strength 0.717
Crawley Town defence strength 1.341
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 2